| Driver | Chance | Decimal | Fractional | American | Buy now* | 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 99.8% | 1.00 | 1/399 | -39900 | 1.00 | ▲ 1.5 |
| George Russell | 0.1% | 1000.00 | 999/1 | +99900 | 970.90 | — |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0.1% | 1000.00 | 999/1 | +99900 | 970.90 | — |
Polymarket prices as of 1 Nov 2026, 00:05 UTC. Chance is the market price (midpoint of the best bid and offer). *Buy now is the decimal odds you'd get buying at the best offer right now, after the taker fee. 7 days is the change in percentage points.
Bet on this market on PolymarketThe table above shows the live odds from Polymarket’s F1 Drivers’ Championship market. More than $200 million has been traded on the 2026 title, which makes it one of the biggest sports markets Polymarket has ever run. Each price is what traders are paying for a share that pays $1 if that driver is champion.
How to Read the Odds
A price is a probability: 80¢ is an 80% chance, decimal odds of 1.25, fractional 1/4 or American -400. The table converts every driver.
The Buy now column is the decimal odds you’d get buying this second, at the best offer and after the taker fee. Late in a season, drivers who are almost out of contention trade at a fraction of a cent, and their books are very thin.
Trading the Title Race
I traded the 2026 drivers’ title market a lot this season. What makes an F1 championship market good to trade is that it moves on a fixed schedule: a race weekend every week or two, each with qualifying, sprints and the race itself, and a points table that tells you exactly what each driver needs. Prices jump after each result and drift in between.
On Polymarket you can trade those moves. Buy a driver before a weekend you think suits his car, then sell any time afterwards at the new price. A bookmaker’s outright bet is locked in until the end of the season unless you take its cash-out offer, which usually sits well below the bet’s fair value.
Polymarket vs Bookmaker Outright Odds
In my experience bookmakers’ outright markets carry a margin of about 10% to 20%. With twenty-odd drivers, most of it is hidden in the long shots. The no-vig calculator shows your bookmaker’s margin. Polymarket’s prices come from traders and add up to roughly 100%, and Polymarket doesn’t limit you for winning.
How the Market Settles
The market settles on the driver who finishes first in the 2026 Drivers’ Championship standings, as soon as the official results of the final race are known, using official Formula 1 information. A tie is settled by F1’s own tiebreak. A driver’s shares settle at $0 as soon as he’s mathematically eliminated. If the season is cancelled or isn’t finished by 31 March 2027, the market settles to “Other”.
This page will switch to the 2027 championship market once Polymarket lists it.
How to Bet on the F1 Championship
- Sign up for Polymarket in about two minutes.
- Deposit with crypto or a card.
- Open the market, pick a driver and buy Yes shares at your price.
Polymarket also lists race-winner markets for each Grand Prix. See Polymarket sports betting for how betting on an exchange works.