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NBA Championship Odds 2027: Live Finals Prices

Live NBA championship odds from Polymarket for the 2026-27 season. Every team's title chance in %, decimal, fractional and American odds, with no vig.

5 min read
Tom Hill Independent prediction-market educator Follow on X
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Table of Contents
Favourite
San Antonio Spurs
23% · 4.44 · 7/2
Next
Oklahoma City Thunder
14% · 7.41 · 13/2
TeamChanceDecimalFractionalAmericanBuy now*7 days
San Antonio Spurs23%4.447/2+3444.35▲ 3.0
Oklahoma City Thunder14%7.4113/2+6417.14▼ 10.0
Philadelphia 76ers11%8.898/1+7898.85▲ 0.5
Boston Celtics8%13.3325/2+123312.50▲ 2.0
Houston Rockets7%14.8114/1+138114.49▲ 3.5
New York Knicks7%15.3829/2+143814.29—
Minnesota Timberwolves5%20.4139/2+194120.00—
Detroit Pistons5%22.2221/1+212221.74▲ 0.9
Toronto Raptors3%28.9928/1+279928.57▼ 0.9
Los Angeles Lakers3%30.7730/1+297728.57—
Cleveland Cavaliers3%37.0436/1+360435.71—
Denver Nuggets3%39.2238/1+382238.46—

Polymarket prices as of 1 Nov 2026, 00:05 UTC. Chance is the market price (midpoint of the best bid and offer). *Buy now is the decimal odds you'd get buying at the best offer right now, after the taker fee. 7 days is the change in percentage points.

Bet on this market on Polymarket
NBA champion: last 30 days
San Antonio SpursOklahoma City ThunderPhiladelphia 76ersBoston CelticsHouston Rockets
0%10%20%30%2 Oct1 NovSan Antonio Spurs 23%Oklahoma City Thu… 14%Philadelphia 76ers 11%Boston Celtics 8%Houston Rockets 7%

The table above shows the live NBA championship odds from Polymarket’s 2027 champion market, with more than $30 million traded and millions more resting on the order book. Each price is what traders are paying for a share that pays $1 if that team wins the 2026-27 title.

How to Read the Odds

A price is a probability: 20¢ is a 20% chance, American odds of +400, decimal 5.00 or fractional 4/1. The table converts every team.

The Buy now column is the decimal odds you’d get buying this second, at the best offer and after any taker fee. On the contenders it’s almost the same as the market price. On the long shots the books are thinner, so use a limit order.

Polymarket vs Sportsbook Futures

Sportsbooks charge more on futures than on single games. In my experience an NBA title market carries a margin of about 10% to 20%, compared with roughly 5% on a standard -110/-110 game line. Paste any book’s futures prices into the no-vig calculator to see its margin.

On Polymarket the prices add up to roughly 100%, because they come from traders, not from a book protecting itself. You pay a small taker fee when you buy at the offer, and none when your limit order fills.

The bigger difference over an 82-game season is that you can sell any time. If your team gets hot in January, sell some shares and lock in the profit, or sell all of them if your star gets hurt. A sportsbook’s cash-out offer is usually well below the bet’s fair value.

Liquidity

NBA markets are among the most liquid on Polymarket. The title market has millions of dollars of orders, so you can get on at size without moving the price, and no trader review is going to cut your limits for winning. The same goes for games: I’ve seen tens of thousands of dollars available at the best price on a regular-season NBA game, before and during play.

How the Market Settles

Each team has its own Yes/No market. It settles Yes for the 2026-27 NBA champion and No for every other team, using official NBA information. A team’s shares settle at $0 as soon as it’s eliminated. If the season is cancelled or no champion is declared by 30 June 2027, the market settles to “Other”.

How to Bet on the NBA Champion

  1. Sign up for Polymarket in about two minutes.
  2. Deposit with crypto or a card.
  3. Open the market, pick a team and buy Yes shares at your price.

For the season’s rookie race, see the NBA Rookie of the Year odds. For games, Polymarket sports betting covers moneylines, spreads and in-play.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who are the favourites to win the 2027 NBA Finals?
The team at the top of the table above is the current favourite on Polymarket. A price of 20¢ means a 20% chance, or American odds of +400. Prices update as traders react to results, injuries and trades.
Are Polymarket's NBA futures odds better than a sportsbook's?
Usually, yes. Sportsbooks build a margin of about 10% to 20% into futures markets, so the implied chances of every team add up to well over 100%. Polymarket's prices add up to roughly 100%. The Buy now column shows what you'd actually get after the fee.
Can I sell an NBA futures bet during the season?
Yes. A Polymarket position is a set of shares you can sell to another trader at the market price at any time, from opening night to the Finals.
How does Polymarket's NBA champion market settle?
It settles Yes for the team that wins the 2026-27 NBA championship and No for every other team. A team's shares settle at $0 once it's eliminated. If no champion is declared by 30 June 2027, the market settles to Other.