| Team | Chance | Decimal | Fractional | American | Buy now* | 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 65% | 1.55 | 5/9 | -182 | 1.52 | ▼ 1.0 |
| Manchester City | 11% | 9.52 | 17/2 | +852 | 8.85 | ▼ 2.0 |
| Liverpool | 9% | 10.99 | 10/1 | +999 | 10.47 | ▲ 4.3 |
| Brighton | 8% | 13.07 | 12/1 | +1207 | 12.64 | — |
| Chelsea | 4% | 24.69 | 24/1 | +2369 | 23.71 | — |
| Tottenham | 0.9% | 105.26 | 104/1 | +10426 | 88.29 | — |
| Aston Villa | 0.5% | 222.22 | 221/1 | +22122 | 194.20 | — |
| Manchester United | 0.5% | 222.22 | 221/1 | +22122 | 161.84 | — |
| Hull City | 0.3% | 400.00 | 399/1 | +39900 | 323.65 | — |
| Bournemouth | 0.1% | 666.67 | 666/1 | +66567 | 485.47 | — |
| Brentford | 0.1% | 666.67 | 666/1 | +66567 | 485.47 | — |
| Newcastle United | 0.1% | 666.67 | 666/1 | +66567 | 485.47 | — |
Polymarket prices as of 1 Nov 2026, 00:05 UTC. Chance is the market price (midpoint of the best bid and offer). *Buy now is the decimal odds you'd get buying at the best offer right now, after the taker fee. 7 days is the change in percentage points.
Bet on this market on PolymarketThe table above shows the live title odds from Polymarket’s Premier League 2026/27 winner market, one of the deepest football futures markets anywhere, with more than $20 million traded. Each price is what traders are paying right now for a share that pays $1 if that club wins the league.
How to Read the Odds
A price is a probability. A club trading at 40¢ has a 40% chance in the market’s view, which is decimal odds of 2.50, fractional 6/4 or American +150. The table converts every price for you.
The Buy now column is what you’d actually get if you bought this second: the best price on offer plus Polymarket’s taker fee. On a liquid club it sits close to the market price. On an outsider with a thin order book it can be noticeably lower, and that’s your cue to post a limit order instead of buying at the offer.
Why These Odds Beat a Bookmaker’s Outright Price
Bookmakers build their margin into outright markets, and it’s bigger than on single matches. In my experience the Premier League winner market at a typical bookmaker carries about 10% to 20%: add up the implied chances of every club and you get 110% to 120%. You can check your own bookmaker with the no-vig calculator.
On Polymarket the prices add up to roughly 100%, because nobody is building a margin into them. Polymarket charges a small taker fee when you buy at the offer and nothing when your limit order is filled.
Two other differences matter more over a 38-game season:
- You can sell any time. If your club goes top in December, you can sell your shares at the new price and take the profit. A bookmaker’s cash-out offer usually sits well below the bet’s fair value.
- Nobody limits you for winning. Polymarket isn’t the other side of your bet, so there’s no trader review and no stake cap. Banned for winning explains why bookmakers do it.
Liquidity in the EPL Futures
I’m one of the main market makers on Polymarket’s EPL futures, mostly the top-N finish markets (top 4, top 6 and so on). Market makers keep buy and sell orders on both sides all season, which is why you can usually get on and off at a fair price even months before the title is decided.
The title market itself is the deepest of them, with millions of dollars of orders on the book. The big clubs have tight spreads. The long shots, the clubs below 1%, have thinner books, so use limit orders there.
How the Market Settles
The market settles on the club that wins the 2026/27 Premier League, using official Premier League information. As soon as a club can no longer win the title, its shares settle at $0. If the season is cancelled or no champion is declared by 14 June 2027, the market settles to “Other”.
How to Bet on the Premier League Winner
- Sign up for Polymarket: it takes about two minutes, and there’s no ID check on the international exchange.
- Deposit with crypto or a card.
- Open the market, pick the club and buy Yes shares at the price you want.
New to betting on an exchange? Polymarket sports betting covers how it differs from a bookmaker. For other football futures, see the Champions League winner odds.